HardingLoevnerFunds.com for Mutual Funds for US Institutions Mutual Funds for US Individuals
HardingLoevnerFundsplc.com for UCITS Funds for Non-US Investors
Equity markets surged in the first quarter, turning in the strongest start to a calendar year in over a decade. A key factor was the success of the European Central Bank’s efforts to ease pressures on European banks, which effectively backstopped the maturities of European bank debt coming due within two years. This action de-linked the bank funding issues from the solvency issues surrounding European sovereign debt and took away the short-term risk of bank failures, rendering the “voluntary restructuring” of Greece’s government debt in March anticlimactic. With this “tail risk” off the table, investors could focus on improving US employment data and signs that the housing sector was no longer impairing the US economy. Additionally, there were indications of reduced inflation pressures and monetary strictures in a number of developing economies. Taken together, one of the markets’ biggest worries—the disparity of growth in developed and emerging economies—receded into the background in the quarter.
China is moving to meet its goal of reducing its dependence on fixed asset investment and increasing the proportion of its GDP generated by consumption. We think how China handles this transition has important implications not only for its own economy, but for other emerging markets. For years, China has been the world’s key marginal consumer of commodities such as oil and iron ore. One reason that our portfolio is underweight mining is an expectation of a world in which China is not as big of a driving force in commodity prices. Our holdings in China are notably less cyclical, and we seek to find attractive private sector companies that should benefit from China’s new development path.
Watch videos discussing Harding Loevner's firm history, investment process, and equity strategies.