Fundamental Analysis

The Magnificent Seven Skew Market Returns, Style Factors

A small group of US stocks, dubbed the Magnificent Seven, continues to dominate returns in global markets.

Portrait of Jingyi Li, Analyst and Portfolio Manager at Harding Loevner.
Jingyi Li contributed research and viewpoints to this piece.

A small group of US stocks, dubbed the Magnificent Seven, continues to dominate returns in global markets. As seen in the chart above, nearly half of the gains in the MSCI All Country World Index for the first six months of 2024, and all of the gains in the second quarter, came from just these seven stocks.

The phenomenon is not new, although it has become more extreme this year. The Magnificent Seven has accounted for about a third of the index’s return since the end of 2022:

Line chart depicting the significant outperformance of the Magnificent 7 stocks from January 2023 through June 2024 compared to the MSCI ACWI Index.

The significant outperformance of the Magnificent Seven has skewed style factors, particularly growth.

Column chart comparing 2Q24 returns by growth quintile, showing the Magnificent Seven stocks (gray bars) outperforming with nearly 12% in the top quintile, while the broader index excluding them (orange bars) shows modest gains around 4%.

The chart above shows that when looking at these seven stocks in isolation, growth clearly outperforms: The fastest-growing members of the Magnificent Seven—those represented by the first quintile in the gray bar to the left—rose nearly 12% in the second quarter, an 875-basis-point (bp) lead over the second growth quintile, and a 1,200-bp lead over the slowest-growing quintile on the far right of the chart. Now, let’s look at the MSCI ACWI Index without the impact of the Magnificent Seven. As the orange bars show, growth still outperforms, but not by much. When stripping out those seven stocks, the index’s top quintile of growth gained just 4%, compared to a 3% overall return across all quintiles. ∎

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